When PM Modi took the post and toured Nepal it seemed like we are entering into a new era of cooperation and friendship. And why not India and Nepal has been more than a neighbour since India's independence. India kept its borders and jobs opened for nepalese people. But since new constitution of Nepal has passed this september India-Nepal relations took a sour turn.
What is the issue?
Nepal's new constitution divided whole country into 7 states and gave more representation to hill area tribes into legislature while populations of terai region inhabitants is more. Hence they agitated and started to demonstrate. India did not like this division as it should be based on proportional representation based on population. Due to this standoff passage for providing supplies are blocked by India according to nepal while India says that no man land is quite agitated land due to madhesi's opposition hence it is dangerous to open passage till all get silent. Hence India want nepal to give heed to terai inhabitant i.e. Madhesis's concern. And Nepal is considering it as interference by India.
India's Concerns
a) As terai region comprises most out of 1750 long Nepal border with India hence any sort of disturbance their will create security issues directly for India.
b) India could face deluge of refugees as many Madhesis have marital or economic relations with Indians.
Profit to China:- Because of this debacle in relationships between India and Nepal, China proposed and being accepted by Nepal has started to supply essential commodities to Nepal. China has opened two checkposts and ready to open more if required. This is a geographical and diplomatic victory for china as this friendly gesture will improve chinese penetration into Nepal's economy and political matters which hitherto was closed. Resultantly Indian effect will diminsh.
What India should do now?
India should look for peaceful talk with nepal not in big brotherly tone but as an equal neighbour and try to put its concern to Nepal regarding Madhesis and other constitutional matters. Any harsh and hurried decision could shift Nepal towards china and the long relationship not only geographically but culturally between India and Nepal can get serious hit.
What Nepal's stand should be now?
Nepal should know that India has been the sole mate of nepal throughout many decades and its population has all those rights in India which no other country has. And looking help from China can be an emergency measure but not permanent solution. As geographical barrier in the form of Himalaya makes Chinese help tough to reach to Nepal. Hence Nepal should also look to solve this situation by talking to India and pay heed to its concern as possible.
India's Concerns
a) As terai region comprises most out of 1750 long Nepal border with India hence any sort of disturbance their will create security issues directly for India.
b) India could face deluge of refugees as many Madhesis have marital or economic relations with Indians.
Profit to China:- Because of this debacle in relationships between India and Nepal, China proposed and being accepted by Nepal has started to supply essential commodities to Nepal. China has opened two checkposts and ready to open more if required. This is a geographical and diplomatic victory for china as this friendly gesture will improve chinese penetration into Nepal's economy and political matters which hitherto was closed. Resultantly Indian effect will diminsh.
What India should do now?
India should look for peaceful talk with nepal not in big brotherly tone but as an equal neighbour and try to put its concern to Nepal regarding Madhesis and other constitutional matters. Any harsh and hurried decision could shift Nepal towards china and the long relationship not only geographically but culturally between India and Nepal can get serious hit.
What Nepal's stand should be now?
Nepal should know that India has been the sole mate of nepal throughout many decades and its population has all those rights in India which no other country has. And looking help from China can be an emergency measure but not permanent solution. As geographical barrier in the form of Himalaya makes Chinese help tough to reach to Nepal. Hence Nepal should also look to solve this situation by talking to India and pay heed to its concern as possible.
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